OTHERS' VIEWS

OTHERS' VIEWS

Each time some Christians pray against 666 or the mark of the beast, I laugh! If God has said it will happen, it will happen; prayer or no prayer! Otherwise, we make God a liar! The best anyone can do is, read the prophecy with understanding and chart a course for yourself! What can we do to escape it? And in the event that we fail to escape 666, what remedy is there for us to still make good our salvation? Praying that the prophecy shall not come to pass appears to me like if anyone had prayed that the prophecy concerning the birth of the Messiah should not come to pass. Trying to abort the occurrence of the mark of the beast will, in my view, be as futile as the efforts of Herod to abort the coming of the Messiah and the fulfillment of his Messianic assignment.

Tell me, in today’s Nigeria, if the Beast suddenly emerges with a pyramid of bags of rice behind him and piles of Naira notes on his left and right hand side, will Nigerians not throng him to receive the mark so as to get a piece of the action? The rapid advancement of technology also makes it imperative that the coming of the Beast may just be around the corner. Who would have thought it possible, in 1960 when Nigeria got its Independence, that one can send or withdraw money without entering the banking hall? Or that banks without buildings were possible? Today, we can withdraw cash from ATM machines with our fingerprints! How far away are we from 666?

The awesome advancement in technology should convince anyone that anything is possible. We now drive cars that carry no engine and that do not run on petrol or diesel. We have robots that look like humans – unless you were told, you may hardly notice the difference. These robots have an IQ that competes with humans and can perform human activities more efficiently. Ask ChatGPT and such other platforms any question and you will be amazed at the response you get.

I began to ruminate on these a few days ago when I got the information about the formation of a National Association of Artificial Intelligence Practitioners of Nigeria (NAAIP). Formed on April 29, 2024, NAAIP has Professor Eyitope Ogunbodede, the immediate past vice-chancellor of the Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, as its foundation president. NAAIP’s press statement speaks for itself:

“The National Association of Artificial Intelligence Practitioners (NAAIP) was founded… as a high point of the graduation ceremony of 931 participants drawn from the universities, polytechnics and colleges of education across Nigeria, that participated in a 13-week rigorous training on the use of Artificial Intelligence to support teaching, research and community engagement. The NAAIP drew its membership from the graduates of the course as the recognized chartered members of the Association.

“On the 6th of May, 2024, the pioneer executive officers were democratically-elected in a keenly-contested election (and they) will steer the (affairs of the) association toward its mission of advancing AI education and practice across Nigeria… Most of the foundation officers are former or serving Vice-Chancellors, Deputy Vice-Chancellors, Rectors and other highly-placed officers in the Higher Education sector…”

Ogunbodede, during the ceremony, expressed deep appreciation to the Visioner and founder of NAAIP, Emeritus Professor Peter Akinsola Okebukola (OFR), who is also the Facilitator-General of the Virtual Institute for Capacity Building in Higher Education (VICBHE) that conducted the AI course that produced the Charter Members of the Association. He added that the establishment of NAAIP is another testimony to the giant strides taken by Okebukola as he continues to contribute meaningfully, on many fronts, to the development of education globally. Okebukola was a one-time Executive Secretary of the National Universities Commission (NUC).

Speaking further, Ogunbodede said the use and dominance of AI has become unstoppable. “As it continues to evolve, its effect will shape the future of the global economy and Nigeria has been put at an advantage with the inauguration of NAAIP”. He pledged the support of the Association to the Federal Government in its bid to establish a national strategy and develop a road map to harness the potentials of AI for the overall benefit of the Nigerian society and the economy. He called on the Federal Government to aim at positioning the country as a leading AI hub on the continent of Africa.

“NAAIP will support the Federal Government in its noble objectives and will also support researchers, educators, developers and AI enthusiasts to collectively provide quality service that will increase production and productivity of governance in all sectors of the economy”, he said, adding, however, that “as promising as AI technologies are, with its myriad strengths and opportunities, it has weaknesses and threats (and) to ameliorate these negative attributes, NAAIP will promote the ethical practice of AI and ensure its responsible use in our society”

NAAIP, he said, would promote advocacy and policy development to shape regulations and guidelines that promote the responsible and equitable use of AI, support research on AI matters, and strengthen education at all levels in the country. It will also enhance the provision of educational resources to accelerate understanding of AI technologies and their impact on the society; develop ethical frameworks and best practices to guide the development and deployment of AI systems in a manner that prioritizes safety, fairness, transparency, and accountability, collaboration and networking among AI professionals, researchers, policymakers, and other stakeholders to foster innovation and knowledge exchange.

My interest was further aroused when the NAAIP press statement by its publicity secretary, Professor Nkechinyere Nwokoye, hinted that membership was open to individuals, organizations, and institutions “committed to advancing the ethical development and deployment of AI technologies”. He listed the benefits to members to include continuous capacity development, networking opportunities and access to educational resources. The Association will work hand-in-hand with the Virtual Institute for Capacity Building in Higher Education (VICBHE) for its training programmes; it will also engage in National and International collaborations with organizations having similar aims and objectives.

I feel a compelling need for a wider section of the Nigerian literate community to be aware of the formation of NAAIP and the limitless opportunities of AI now brought to our doorsteps. Reading a portion of the press statement where Okebukola was quoted as describing the establishment of NAAIP “as another veritable evidence that Nigeria is the leading country in Africa in terms of educational development”, I paused and took a deep breath! Describing NAAIP as “a veritable vehicle that WOULD help make Nigeria the leading country in Africa (and beyond) in terms of educational development” is a more believable proposition!

A video somehow caught my attention two nights ago. The video in which a lady speaks eloquently and with undoubted grasp of the subject cannot be timelier. The subject is diabetes. It is a disease ravaging our world today. Centuries-old researches to eradicate it have not gone beyond the borders of relief, albeit commendable, though. Eradication or total cure seems farfetched as things stand now. I want to believe I can take Professor Oyeku Oyelami’s generous liberty to be a pretender to the throne by making copious references to his book on this all-important matter. Come to think of it, this column attempted to delve into the subject in these pages 32 years ago. At the time, it was already afflicting mankind, and was a sufficient cause for worry. It was not at the alarming rate and spread of these times.

As the lady states in the very instructive presentation, “Diabetes is a fairly modern disease. Diabetes is a lifestyle disease.” She reminds the world: “Hypocrites, the father of medicine made no mention of diabetes in his writings. Quoting Newton’s Law of Motion, she says: “Newton’s third Law of Motion states that to every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.” She speaks about the place of pancreases in our body system. “Why is it the pancreases are not working? That is the question we should be asking. One of its main roles is to release two hormones—one is insulin bringing down sugar level and the other glucagon which gets the sugar level supply up.” With the two working in harmonious hormonal collaboration, the sugar level is regulated. Generous protein, legumes and grains give the guarantee of protection after necessary processes.

Professor Oyelami of the Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile Ife, who has done an extensive study on the disease, states in his book, ‘A Clinician’s Experience With Herbs That Heal’: “It is estimated that about four million Nigerians may be suffering from the disease; and given the increasing Westernized lifestyle, the number is bound to rise. More than two million people in the UK have the condition, and up to 750,000 are believed to have it without realizing that they do. More than three-quarters of people with diabetes have what is called Type2 diabetes mellitus. This used to be known as non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) or maturity onset diabetes mellitus. The others have Type 1 diabetes mellitus which used to be known as insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. The difference is that in Type 1, the body is unable to produce any insulin. This usually starts in childhood or young adulthood. It is treated with diet control and insulin injections. In Type2, not enough insulin is produced or the insulin that is made by the body doesn’t work properly. This tends to affect people as they get older, and usually appears after the age of 40.

“Under normal circumstances, the hormone insulin, which is made by the pancreas, carefully regulates how much glucose is in the blood. Insulin stimulates cells to absorb enough glucose from the blood for the energy or fuel that they need. It also stimulates the liver to absorb and store any glucose that is left over. After taking food, the amount of blood glucose rises and this triggers the release of insulin. When the glucose level falls, for example during exercise, insulin levels fall, too. Another hormone manufactured by pancreas is glucagon. It stimulates the liver to release glucose when it is needed and this increases the level of glucose in the blood.”

The lady in the video goes to list as scientists are wont to do foods we should avoid such as refined grains, refined sugar, pasta, pizza, cakes, indeed also bread, foods that come under the umbrella of carbohydrates. These are what are predominant in the modern-day menu. In 1992 when this column delved into the subject, it drew attention to the warning of diabetics that Nigerians should soft-pedal on soft drinks thought at the time to be the main sources of refined sugar that is consumed.

As nothing has changed and indeed, the modern lifestyle that is the trigger, has gone worse, I have decided to point to the column again part of which  reads as follows, breaking it down to ordinary day language: “Diabetics, like soft drinks, today hardly requires any introduction. They are people whose bodies are unable to dispose of sugar in their blood. When the sugar becomes too much for their bodies to bear, they collapse and may even die. So, to prevent that, diabetics must inject themselves everyday with insulin which burns off the sugar but which their bodies, through disease, either can no longer produce or, when it does produce it, cannot pump into the blood stream at all or in an adequate measure or quantity. A daily routine of insulin injection is not funny; it is certainly not a life to joyfully look forward to. Not with those painful needle sores all over the body and that inevitable new prick at the sight of an old festering sore. It can cost a lot of money, too, stockpiling insulin injections against the rainy day, the day of shortages and price hikes. And unending test appointments, blood tests, sugar level tests and hypertension examination. Much money is tied down that could have been spent more beneficially, more so in these days when money has lost its reputation, and pull as hard as you may, the ends, as if by conspiracy, just refuse to meet. Perhaps the worst psychological torment for the diabetic is when he just cannot find insulin injection to buy, or it is beyond his reach, and friends and relations long overburdened, begin to keep safe distance.

It is the wish of the Nigerian diabetics that other people don’t go through their experiences which makes them deserve our gratitude, also for their timely warning as the Lagos wing of the Nigerian Diabetic Association. The same cannot be said of the Nigerian doctor of the mid-70s who appeared to look the other way when the Lagos water supply system was overrun by sea water and, for months, Lagos public water supply was heavily saline. The glass of tap of water then tasted so saline that hardly could it taste clean even after boiling and then cooling or cotton fabric filtration. Consequently, those dependent on public water supply looked for borehole water or took recourse to soft drinks. Many travelled in their cars beyond Lagos to the outskirts, neighbouring communities and towns to fetch water. At the time, soft drink market was booming and the argument of salesmen to those who were ill-at-ease and therefore tried to hold themselves in check was that all carbohydrate foods end up in the body as sugar. It was argued that there is sugar in orange, banana, pineapple, rice, gari, in fact, in any starchy food and that whoever would have diabetes cannot blame sugar for it. It must be enheartening, indeed, that research is being scaled up to determine where the verity lies for believers that sugar is an agent of diabetes or the doubting Thomases who say sugar, natural or denatured can kill or cause diabetes, howbeit  under certain circumstances.

If we may give the floor to Harvey and Marilyn Diamond, authors of Fit for Life: From their research, “Over two hundred million soft drinks are consumed in this country (US) each year. Actually, they are anything but soft on your body, except for your teeth. Dr. Clive McKay of Cornell University showed that soft drinks can completely erode enamel and make teeth as soft as much within two days (as described in “The Poisoned Needle by Eleanor McBean). The ingredient that is the culprit here is a horrific concoction called phosphoric acid. These drinks also contain malic acid, carbonic acid and crythorbic acid among other things. The malic and citric acids to be found naturally in fruits and vegetables are of a nature that turns alkaline in the system. The ones to be found in soft drinks, Dr. McKay claims, remain acid because they are fractionated and usually extracted with heat. Your pH balance can be thrown into turmoil just by reading the label of a soft drink! There are other harmful ingredients in these drinks as well, plus refined white sugar about five teaspoons per eight-ounce serving. The only difference between regular and diet sodas is that instead of sugar, a substitute is used, so harmful that each container has to have a warning on the label just like cigarettes. Plus most sodas have as the old nemesis, caffeine. Some of the additives used are coal-tar derivatives, another carcinogen. When soft drinks are taken with food, it leads to fermentation instead of good digestion. Aside from tricking the body into thinking they taste good, there are no benefits.

The caffeine should be reason enough not to give the beverage to children. It is increasing that most parents won’t allow their children to drink coffee, but they condone caffeinated soft drinks. You may be wondering why caffeine is added to these drinks. According to Dr. Royal Lee of Foundation for Nutritional Research, Cola is loaded with habit forming caffeine so that once the victim becomes accustomed to the stimulant; he cannot very well get along without it. There is only one reason for putting caffeine in soft drink to make it habit forming.’

The researchers say If you can cut down on this non-nutritious, empty calorie conglomeration of acids and cancer causing chemicals , by all means do. There are many carbonated waters that although not ideal (because of high salt content and inorganic minerals) are far better.

“In the process of refining sugar, every vestige of life and nutrient is stripped from it. All the fibre, vitamins, minerals, everything is virtually removed, leaving only a deadly remnant. Sugar makes people fat because it supplies only empty, low calories and excessive carbohydrates that are converted to fat. This causes a person to over-eat to obtain needed nutrients.”

The manufacturers have shot back saying a meta-analysis has showed no link between soft drinks and other sweetened, sugary beverages and cancer as well as diabetes. A school of thought believes that they must have their own laboratory to determine what amount of ingredients goes into what. Also drinking must be done in moderation, anything taken in excess is harmful. The manufacturers have a boost, according to Reuters, from U.S. regulators that have said soft drinks from PepsiCo Inc and Coca-Cola Co posed no health risks. Consumers, themselves have said the soft drinks they buy are safe.

Typical of matters of this nature, the other party is saying that sugary soft drinks contain no vitamins, minerals or fibre and regular soda is full of calories. It shows that counter standpoint does not go away and it is that people who consume sugary drinks –one, two cans a day or more – have a 26 per cent greater risk of developing Type2 diabetes than people who rarely have such drinks. Harvey and Merilyn Diamond can go on and on. So can other researchers. One research finding has even linked sugar with hypertension. Another implicates it in dementia or loss of memory. In the case of dementia, the argument is that sugar does not contain thiamine or vitamin B1. Carbohydrates or starchy foods become glucose in the body. And glucose is the main food of the brain. But it cannot be useful in the absence of thiamine. When added with processed sugar as in soft drinks, the body borrows from its reserves kept in the muscles or the heart. These weaken the organs over time. When it becomes dangerous to borrow, the body stops borrowing and stops using glucose, as in the case of the brain. In this situation, the brain becomes malnourished in the midst of plenty, loses its vitality and may even die. Thus victims lose memory altogether, and forget how to do certain things, especially as muscle co-ordination may have been impaired.

The bottom line of the message of the Diabetes Association of Nigeria unarguably is: “Let’s be natural.” Therein lie health and greatness. Out of Nature has the human body emerged. And out of Nature has the nourishment it requires come. Nature gives the body the nourishment homogenous with its make-up not only in component texture but in healthy balance as well. Man disarranges the texture and balance of nutrients. As the Revised edition Chambers 21st Century Dictionary puts it: Being natural means “relating to Nature, or parts of the physical world not made or altered by man.”But the earlier edition, 20th Century Chambers Dictionary, puts it, in my view, more comprehensively and better: Being natural means “pertaining to, produced by, or according to Nature, not miraculous; not the work of man; not interfered with by man.”

ABIODUN’S LAME EXCUSE

The deplorable state of the road linking Abeokuta township with Wole Soyinka Train Station was brought to the attention of Ogun State Government last year. The road is said to connect about 40 committees, among them Idi-Aba renowned for its age-long educational institution and not too long ago, playing host to Federal Medical Centre, as their main link to the railway station.

From the 20s, with the peak in the 50s and 60s, owned by the Baptist Mission, Idi-Aba founded in 1910, provided secondary school opportunity to girls. The State Government is aware of the horrible and shameful condition of the road and the law-abiding governor, His Excellency, the one and only Prince, not wanting to gate-crash into a property that is not his, and incur the wrath of the Villa in Abuja, asked for permission to fix the road. He has just gotten the nod to go ahead fixing Lagos-Ojokoro- Sango Otta, Ifo- Ewekoro-Abeokuta two-carriage Road –an exceedingly strategic road, economically, politically, historically and socially. It is the main road linking Lagos with Abeokuta. But it was allowed to degenerate into hell of a road.

The importance of the road is hinted at by the mere linking of iconic Professor Wole Soyinka, a citizen of the universe, to the train station. The Federal Government named the train station in Wole Soyinka’s name. It ought not be a case of a prophet that is without honour among his own people. Here is also an axis that promises to be booming economically. It will awaken entrepreneurship instinct inherent in Ogun State people and bring prosperity to the state capital and by extension to the state once it gets the necessary infrastructure.

The State Government says of the road in its official post: “This is a matter close to our hearts. Enhancing this route holds promise of rendering train travel more enjoyable. Yet we tread cautiously, refraining from vocalizing our concerns, lest it be misconstrued as making excuses. Debates ensue, tangled in bureaucratic intricacies, as this particular stretch, albeit short, falls under the purview of the Federal Government, responsible for its upkeep. To embark on reconstruction, the state government requires permission from the Minister. However, obtaining such authorization proves a sluggish ordeal, hindered by bureaucratic inertia. It is note-worthy that the station complex was conceptualized to coincide with the development of its surrounding arteries, an integral part of the overarching scheme.”

Methinks that once there is foot dragging in receiving approval, all the state government need do is to notify the Minister in writing that further to the government request on the road project, you would like to go ahead with it waving the cover of anticipatory approval. The reconstruction is urgent.

I wonder if it is being suggested that if the state government had embarked on fixing the road, Bola Tinubu was going to dispatch Kayode Egbetokun, the IG accompanied by fierce-looking men, armed to the teeth, to halt the work and bring the insolent Dapo Abiodun, the Governor to Abuja for discipline! It is a lame excuse.

t is a lame excuse, Your Excellency, with due respect.

Let us be categorical from the outset. There is no constitutional or statutory significance to the first 100 days of a governor or president’s term, which, nevertheless, seems to have become a tradition. In fact, the origins of the concept is hazy and its import remains a subject of debate.

Some historians trace its origins to the second reign of French Emperor Napoleon I, beginning on March 20, 1815, when he retook his throne after his exile to Elba. However, that triumphant return ended July 8, 1815, when King Louis XVIII was restored to the French throne, a total of 110 days. Within five days of Napoleon’s return, the European powers at the Congress of Vienna declared him an outlaw and committed to increasing military troops on the ground in order to end his rule once and for all, a decision that led to a series of battles fought between the French Army of the North and the Anglo-Allied and Prussian armies, which culminated in the decisive Battle of Waterloo (June 15 – July 8, 1815) and the ultimate vanquishing of Napoleon.

The phrase les Cent Jours (the hundred days) was said to have been first used by the prefect of Paris, Gaspard comte de Chabrol, in his speech welcoming King Louis XVIII back to Paris on July 8, 1815.

 

But like most political concepts, the idea was popularised with the coming to power of President Franklin D. Roosevelt. In fact, in the first 144 years of America’s democracy, no one made a big deal about the 100-day mark. But elected in the heat of the Great Depression and inaugurated on March 4, 1933, Roosevelt in his first 100 days in office took breathtaking actions, both legislative and regulatory, that Americans hailed as setting the governance bar very high.

For instance, it is on record that in those 100 days, his administration unfurled its New Deal agenda by declaring a bank holiday which stopped the disastrous run on the U.S. banks, took America off the gold standard, passed groundbreaking legislation for farmers, homeowners and the unemployed and also passed amendments to the hated Volstead Act which had created prohibition – actions promoting economic recovery and putting Americans back to work through federal activism in the face of the severe global economic downturn that affected many countries across the world.

So, while the concept is an artificial milestone with lots of attention but no significance in some quarters, it has increasingly become popular since the FDR era and in many countries, including Nigeria, it has become a standard fare to do leadership assessment after 100 days in office.

 

While one school of thought believes that 100 days is too short a time to gauge the performance of a governor or president who has four years – 1461 days – as it is the case for instance in Nigeria, to stay in office, those who believe in the old saying that morning shows the day aver that the first 100 days in office could actually be a pointer as to which direction an administration is headed.

So, while 100 days may be a short time to make an assessment, yet, to any chief executive who prepared to hit the ground running, it is enough time to make a loud statement. Abia State governor Dr. Alex Otti has validated that point with his performance in 100 days and beyond. Emeka Ihedioha also made the point in Imo State with his stellar performance before the Supreme Court threw a spanner in the works.

So when Kogi State governor, Usman Ododo, did a self-appraisal of his stewardship in 100 days, that ordinarily shouldn’t have raised any eyebrows.

 

But it did.

Why? If anyone is still in doubt whether the quality of leadership in Nigeria has gone to the dogs, Ododo’s self-appraisal erases such doubt. It is a proof that the country is in dire leadership straits.

Ododo was sworn in as governor on January 27, 2024 after winning the November 2023 offseason Kogi State governorship poll and on May 5, 2024, he clocked 100 days in the office.

 

To commemorate the milestone, the 42-year-old governor in a flyer shared across his social media handles, with a banal caption: “We will continue to do more for the good people of Kogi State. God Bless Kogi State. God Bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria,” listed meeting with Nuhu Ribadu, the National Security Adviser, NSA, as his star achievement in his first 100 days in office.

Those who think that was ridiculous may have cause to change their minds after reading what amounted to a drivel, because the achievements’ which are in five major categories – governance, agriculture, education, health care, and general information – also included a reception organised for him in Okene, his home town, participation in the meeting of Progressive Governors Forum in Abuja, first courtesy visit by Ife-Olukotun Community in Yagba East Local Government Area, and participation in a joint meeting of the governors of Kogi, Ondo and Taraba with the Minister of Agriculture and Food Security, Senator Abubakar Kyari.

Now, how on earth could these perfunctory duties be termed as achievements? What manner of low self-esteem would make an elected governor consider a meeting with an appointee of the president a privilege? That is sheer neurosis because even a meeting with the president cannot be considered an achievement for a governor. In the same vein, how can his participation in a meeting of fellow governors be celebrated as a big achievement in his first 100 days in office? To say the least, Ododo’s self-advertised achievements is a scandal. It is a sign of low self-esteem for someone to consider a parley with peers an achievement worth celebrating and every well-meaning indigene of Kogi State should be worried.

 

Aside being mortified by such pedestrian outing in the name of celebrating a non-existent milestone, the question that should concentrate their minds is: What kind of transformative vision can a governor who records first courtesy visit of a community as an achievement have for their state?

But is anyone surprised? How did Ododo become governor? His political ascendancy speaks to the faulty leadership recruitment process that has bedeviled the country since 1999. Ours is a democracy where power does not belong to the people. Ododo is Kogi State governor today because his predecessor, the fugitive Yahaya Bello, wanted him to be, the same way the Federal Capital Territory Minister Nyesom Wike made Sim Fubara governor of Rivers State.

The faulty recruitment process is responsible for the gross delinquency we are celebrating in the name of governance across the country.

 

But there are more pertinent questions. Where are the Nigerian people in all this mess? Why are the people still cutting these misfits in positions of authority some slacks? Why are there no popular revolts against the prevalent idiocy in high places?

Sadly, this is a country that used to have leaders as Dr. Michael Okpara, Sir Ahmadu Bello, Chief Obafemi Awolowo and Chief Dennis Osadebey as regional premiers. Even in the Second Republic, we had governors like Sam Mbakwe, Jim Nwobodo, Balarabe Musa, Abubakar Rimi, Lateef Jakande, Bisi Onabanjo, Michael Ajasin, etc. Can anyone imagine any of these great statesmen and tested leaders listing a meeting with President Shehu Shagari’s NSA as achievement?

While it is true that 100 days may not be long enough time to appreciably evaluate the capacity of a governor or president and while it is also true that some leaders are slow starters who end up finding their rhythm with time, the truth is that any governor who consciously listed those frivolities as achievements and who believes same to be true as Ododo obviously does, will end up a spectacular failure. Ododo, without any iota of doubt, will prove that truism four years hence.

IN a tumbling world with shifty and shifting alliances, the European Union, EU, met with its Nigerian and West African partners on Wednesday for a possible reset.

The twin meetings at the National Counter Terrorism Centre, Abuja, held under the shadows of France and United States losing military bases in the region to Russia and, claims that the two-some are in search of new bases. There are also other challenging developments such as a spike in coups, Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso exiting the Economic Community of West African States, ECOWAS, and supposed democracies, like Togo, subverting the democratic system.

The theme was about “Reducing vulnerabilities through partnerships”. A session was a stakeholders engagement on “Nigeria’s defence and security perspectives” and the second, on “Regional defence and security perspectives.”

These meetings are coming on the back of a High-Level African Counter Terrorism Meeting in Abuja a few weeks ago and on-going “Strategic Dialogue” between the EU and the Tinubu administration.

Ambassador Samuela Isopi, the Italian diplomat who is Head of the EU Delegation to Nigeria and ECOWAS told the May 15, 2024 meeting in Abuja: “We live in a single security theatre. What happens in one region of the world directly affects another…Crises or conflicts that emerge locally can quickly become global, with more far-reaching consequences than ever before.”

Ms Isopi who has had diplomatic experiences in Russia, Vietnam, Afghanistan and Bosnia and Herzegovina posited that: “Threats are transnational, more complex and diverse, but the nature of the threats we face is increasingly similar. Hybrid, cyber and information manipulation are now the norm everywhere.”

Major General Adamu Luka, National Coordinator of the Nigerian National Counter Terrorism Centre, NCTC, lamented that while West Africa, with diamond in Sierra Leone, gold in Ghana and oil in Nigeria, is a rich region, its people are very poor with 70 per cent below the poverty line. He said democracy demands certain expressions such as good governance and children at school. He added that while it is true that Africa has a huge youth population, the large number of out-of-school-children, constitutes a future problem. General Laka added sarcastically: “They say two heads are better than one, but two empty heads, are not.” He said there are talks about resilience but wondered if it is possible to be resilient on an empty stomach.

He traced the worsening security challenges such as that in Mali, to the overthrow of President Muamar Ghadaffi in Libya. He asked rhetorically how the EU is assisting in the fight against corruption and for good governance, adding that such challenges are recipes for terrorism.

Ambassador Pieter Leenknght, whose country, Belgium holds the rotating EU Presidency was more focused on misinformation, disinformation and the power of the press. He said the press can make threats look much bigger than they actually are, so some attention should be focused on these.

Ambassador Kalilou Traore of Cote d’Ivoire presented what he called the worst and best case scenarios. In the first, he said the coup epidemic continues; Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger Republic finalise their withdrawal from ECOWAS with some other countries joining them; terrorism continues and ECOWAS collapsing. In the best case scenario, coups stop, democratic elections are strengthened and ECOWAS strengthens. The meeting he said, provides an opportunity to examine why things have not worked out well and how the situation can be changed. The 68-year-old diplomat advocated for the stabilisation of ECOWAS, and the polity in member countries. He added that although democracy is a process, the costs, including elections which sometimes take lives, is too high and should be checked.

Dr Cyriaque Pawomothom Agnekethom, ECOWAS Director of Peacekeeping and Regional Security, in commenting on the three countries exiting ECOWAS, said the security threat we are facing is transnational, hence no single country can succeed in fighting them off. So, ECOWAS should continue to play the central role as it is best suited to check the threats. He said those who partner with the region should favour regional leadership. Such leadership, he counselled, should be locally owned so that it does not appear it is being teleguided.

Colonel Ademola Lawal of the Savannah Centre for Diplomacy, Democracy and Development, SCDDD, made an interjection to which there was no coherent response. In noting the issue of military coups in the region, he asked: what about civilian coups? He described such coups as those executed by the civilian leadership of some countries who apart from capturing executive power, also exercise legislative and judicial powers and perpetuate themselves in office.

Dr Paul Andrew Gwaza of the Institute of Peace and Conflict Resolution argued that the trigger of insecurity are local so there is the need to localise initiatives and the ECOWAS. He said it is imperative to return to the vision of the ECOWAS of the People with focus on economic empowerment.

Ambassador Abdel-Fatau Musah, the ECOWAS Commissioner for Political Affairs, Peace and Security submitted that: “It is not just ECOWAS, but the world that lacks leadership.” He said the body’s vision to move from the ECOWAS of States to the ECOWAS of the People, has stuck in “the ECOWAS of States.”

He said ECOAWS wanted to institutionalise two terms in office for the Heads of State in the region but some wanted more dialogue, so the dialogue is on-going. He added: “You are as strong as your weakest link.”

The leadership problem in member states, from his perspective, is not ECOWAS as an institution, but the people. He cited the cases of Burkina Faso and Gambia where the people rose to change their circumstances. In response to the ECOWAS silence on Togo where President Faure Gnassingbe is perpetuating himself in power by changing the constitution into a so-called parliamentary system that would ensure his continuation in power, Musah asked rhetorically: “You talk about Togo, where are the forces in Togo?”

He regretted that apart from the big powers, “medium forces”, especially from the Middle East, are beginning to interfere in Africa.

Mr Paul Ejime, former war correspondent disagreed with Mr Musah on subversion of the constitutional process such as in Togo, saying nothing stops ECOWAS from taking a position in such a case.

Ambassador Juan Ignacio Sell of Spain, in giving a summary of the twin meetings, said the EU wants to get things right and is ready to review its past work. The meetings, he said, feed into the Schuman Security and Defence Forum of the EU and over 60 partner countries scheduled to hold from May 28-29, 2024 in Brussels.

As the Brussels Forum approaches, the question remains: For how long would African countries remain recipients of EU generosity especially when ‘there is no free lunch anywhere, not even in Freetown’?

‘For the modern Yoruba intelligentsia, Ifa is the index of Yoruba wisdom and cultural excellence”-Robin Horton 

Epega classifies into three groups, those interested in Ifa. 1) Professionals (Ifa priests and diviners. 2) Ifa Devotees-Worshipers. 3) Philosophers-wisdom and knowledge seekers 

‘Founded on the beliefs of the earliest Yoruba, Ifa was systematised during the Oduduwa Era. It is regarded as the repository of Yoruba traditional body of knowledge embracing history, philosophy, medicine and folklore”, So says Jacob Olupona ( Professor of divinity at Havard University). Wande Abimbọla added, It is our own encyclopaedia which is held orally. It is a testimony to the fact that the human brain can retain a lot of information without having to write anything. It was no surprise to learn about the severity and the protracted nature of the training required to get certified as Ifa priest. It consists of a pre initiation training which takes anything between ten and twenty years and another five years of post initiation training. But without olodumare, from whom all else emanated, there would have been no Orunmila and Ifa.

Olodumare is the unique, omnipotent and omniscient creator. Directly ranking under him is the Trinity of Qrunmila-Obatala-Exu. ‘Below this trinity are the other Orixa representing natural forces or spiritual ideas. Some are wrathful like Ogun, Xọngo, Xopono, A won Iyami (witches) says Abosede Emmanuel. Obatala is said to be at the top of this trinity symbolising the Yoruba adage that a tripod ensures stability and order (adiro meta kii da obe nu). In order to acquire this philosophical stability ‘man is taught by Ifa to observe the ethical rectitude of Obatala, to allow for the unpredictable element in life, represented by Esu and to approach problems with the wisdom of Orunmila’. It is from Obatala that the Yoruba derived the role ideation and perception of themselves as urbane, mature, gentled-natured people. (Bolaji Idowu).

Ifa is a victim, first and foremost, of colonialism and its inherent requirement to delegitimize the precolonial history of Africa. Jean-Paul Sartre calls it ‘the sinister strategy of erasing native identities in which the aim is to supplant Indigenous culture with the colonisers own, leaving the population in a vacuum of identity’. It is a measure of the success of this delegitimization that it was with considerable reluctance that I ultimately decided to enter it as a fit and proper subject of public communication beyond the rarefied precincts of academe. 

Now let us proceed with the most contentious of the lot, Esu. Orunmila is his closest friend and confidante who is distinguished for his habit to routinely mock himself and his friend. In a broadside at his friend, he said those of you going to request Esu to bless you with a house, have you forgotten that Esu himself has no house and lives permanently on the streets?.

The original damage to the reputation and locus standi of Esu was inflicted by the mischaracterization of Bishop Samuel Ajayi Crowther in his mistranslation of the Bible to Yoruba language. In his relative ignorance and religious fervour, he wrongly equated the Biblical Satan with Esu.The tragedy of Crowther’s life was the racist refusal of the Anglican communion religious establishment to accept his elevation to the Bishopric. If Christianity was all virtue as he believes, he would not have suffered this rude awakening. 

That said, you have to understand the  context within which Crowther was operating. First, unless he was an initiate, his knowledge and understanding of  Esu was essentially limited. It is in the nature of those days that premium is placed on opacity and secrecy in contraposition to the universality of knowledge and information culture that we subsequently  inherited. Esu”is the neutral locus between good and evil as moral categories” and finds metaphorical analogy as ‘Inspector General of police who reports regularly to olodumare on the deeds of the divinities and men, everyone lives in dread of him lest he takes bad reports to Olodumare”.(Idowu). 

Èṣù láàlú does not have an English name just the way Ṣàngó, Ògún, Ọbàtálá, Ọ̀ṣun and others don’t have an English name. Èṣù is Èṣù! He is only a Messenger who delivers whatever messages he is sent,  be it positive or negative. Eṣù láàlú does not have all those bad features ascribed to the Biblical Satan. People should therefore stop judging Yorùbá Traditions, Customs, Beliefs and Spirituality as “Sinful”, in the Judeo-Christian  biblical sense. 

A subject-matter I bandy around a lot is the concept of autochthony. (Autochthony is the belief or claim that a group of people are indigenous to a particular land or region). So when we commend autochthony, we are saying that a state should derive from the indigenous society and that to the extent it does not, is the extent to which it will likely fail. For instance there was not a prior Nigerian society from which the Nigerian state originated and that it is the extent of this deviation that Nigeria has failed. On the other hand, a potential Yoruba state would have fulfilled the sociological requirement of autochthony because there is a prior indigenous Yoruba society from which it has evolved. It is in this respect that we talk of continuity and discontinuity. So there is state-society continuity in a potential Yoruba state which is lacking in the Nigerian state. To put it in the words of Chief Obafemi Awolowo “Nigeria is not a nation. It is a mere geographical expression. There are no ‘Nigerians’ in the same sense as there are ‘English,’ ‘Welsh,’ or ‘French.’ The word ‘Nigerian’ is merely a distinctive appellation to distinguish those who live within the boundaries of Nigeria and those who do not”

It is with regard to the Nigerian state-society discontinuity that I theorised that there is a psycho-cultural disconnect between the governing mores of the indigenous societies comprising Nigeria (on one hand) and the British-begotten values of the colonial legacy baby- the Nigerian state (on another). In many respects, you can no more psychically separate a European from Christianity than separate a Yoruba from the Yoruba cosmological order.This notion taps from Carl Jung’s analytical concept of the collective unconscious and the subconscious retention and transfer of collective institutional memory. Alexander Roob describes the phenomenon as “accumulated wisdom of the past” “a rich world of images which has etched itself into the memory of modern man, despite the fact that it is not available in public collections”

Flowing from the above is, as deterrence, for the Yoruba, the consequences of breaching his oath of office is more effectively conveyed by Ogun, the implacable Yoruba god of restitution than the Bible and Koran. To quote a Nigerian correspondent “They say when (It is said that if) you want an African to tell the truth, make the African swear to an indigenous divinity—not to the Bible or the Quran”. Pastor Tunde Bakare recalls, ‘To bring conclusiveness to the allegation, they called an ailala priest, with esoteric insight into how to catch a thief. He recited some incantations over a cup of water and asked everyone to drink from it. “Anyone who drinks this water and has stolen the money will die from a gunshot wound ” he warned. They all drank…Years later, Bayo, my nephew, who had stolen the money,  had gotten married and was a successful auto repair technician. One day, while testing one of the vehicles he had repaired, assassins who had been sent after the owner of the car, shot at him, mistaking him for the owner. Unfortunately, Bayo died..”.

The bad and good news is that while Ifa has travelled all over the world, Yoruba people, who are the real owners are ignorant about it because somebody brainwashed them.’There are white people who are now Babalawo and some of them have private jets from the practice.“ In New York, there are more than 2000 Babalawos and in Miami, there are more than 100,000. Some of them own banks and function in the legislative house. There are thousands of them in Cuba and other countries.”

The irony is that as African indigenous religion was steadily losing legitimacy and acceptance at home, a contrary trend ensued in the diaspora especially in South America where ‘African descendants in Brazil adopted the Yoruba religious culture (as Afro-Brazilian) and built an all embracing African identity around its universal character’. Could this be what Orunmila meant when he declared that ‘Ifa o le parun. Atelewo la ba ila, a o mo eniti o ko” (Ifa cannot lapse into extinction. The marks we bear on our palms, do we know how it got there?)

The trademark of Orunmila is a self-deprecating acknowledgement of his fallibility. We find a lot of this in his deference to Ori, the God of destiny. Here we go. “Ko si Orisha ti dani gbe lehin Ori eni ( no orisha can bless you without the concurrence and consent of your Ori). When his never-do-well, ward (Akapo) reported him to olodumare for not helping him to succeed in life. Orunmila explained to God that he had done all he could for Akapo but his Ori did not concur hence the futility of his intercession. On another occasion, he taunted “nigbati Ori n gbe ni, nibo ni orisha wa, e ba je ka fi orisha sile, ka bọ Ori eni ( when Ori was blessing you, where were the orishas, you had better forgo the orisha and worship your Ori). In their collective dread of Sango and self-mockery he said “orisha ti Sango o ba le mu, ere lo mo sa (whichever orisha that Sango cannot deal with, must be a good sprinter). Ipin ja ju oogun, ori je ju ewe lo (Ori supersedes any other spiritual intervention) Oogun lo ni ojo iponju, Ori loni ojo gbogbo (ifa may help alleviate momentary adversities, ori is the eternal guarantor of a fulfilled existence)

If the responsibility is accepted, the task is cut out for the Yoruba intelligentsia to take up the inevitable challenge of fostering the widening of the boundaries of ifa ownership through a programmatic iteration of its thematic and pedagogical emphasis on morality. Rationality demands that you need to understand precisely what is it you are running away from before taking to your heels otherwise you will ab initio be running blind. Let me now leave you with a prayer from Orunmila. Ihoho larin wa aiye, edumare ma je rin Ihoho pada sorun. Ekun lasun wa aiye, edumare ma je ki asunkun pada sorun. Inu eje la to waiye, edumare ma je ka to inu eje pada sorun (we were born naked, may we not return to heaven in nakedness. We were crying on arrival at earth, may we not return to heaven crying. We were delivered in blood, may it please edumare that we do not return in the midst of blood)

My Saturday column was anchored on a viral soundbite from 2019 of Bola Tinubu saying, “If we reduce the purchasing power of the people, we can further slow down the economy. Let’s widen the tax net. Those who are not paying now, even if it is inclusive of Bola Tinubu, let the net get bigger and we take in more taxes, and that is what we must do in the country."

He did utter those words, but the context was intentionally distorted with intent to deceive. Ironically, it was a previously fervent Tinubu supporter who has now become one of his severest critics who called my attention on Saturday to the fact that the soundbite intentionally cut out the preceding and subsequent statements Tinubu made, which made it clear that he wasn’t asking for citizens’ purchasing power to be weakened and for the economy to be slowed down. 

On the contrary, he was actually advocating the opposite of that, which is ironic because he appears to be doing exactly what he counseled against—sort of like his contradictory attitudes on petrol subsidies when he wasn’t in government and when he is now in government.

Well, here’s the full quotation which political opponents who popularized the soundbite (and misled some of us) deliberately left out:

“The global economy faces a stiff headwind [due to] factors not [of] our making…. Consumer spending is slipping…. And this is where I will stop and appeal to Professor Yemi Osinbajo, the Vice President, and his team.

“Put a huge question mark on any increase on VAT, please. If we reduce the purchasing power of the people, we can further slow down the economy. 

“Let’s widen the tax net. Those who are not paying now, if it is inclusive of Bola Tinubu, let the net get bigger and we take in more taxes, and that is what we must do in the country, instead of additional layers of taxes. For now, I’ll stop there.”

He obviously didn’t have a great choice of words, but Tinubu was actually advising the Buhari administration not to increase VAT (as he is proposing to do now) because it will reduce the purchasing power of the people and slow down the economy.

In my column, I found it incredulous that he would say that. I wrote: “So, many people, including me, concluded that Tinubu merely slipped up. What he meant to say was inconsistent with what he actually said.”

Two things made the propagandistic soundbite believable. One, although Tinubu was addressing former Vice President Osinbajo, he used the first-person plural “we” even though he wasn’t officially in government (which may be justified because he saw himself as a part of the government—never mind that he distanced himself from it during the election).

Two, in the nearly one year he has been in power, his signature economic policies have done no more than reduce the people’s purchasing power, slow down the economy, and widen the tax net.

All said, I believe that at all times we must admit the truth even if it’s against us, embarrasses us, weakens our argument, or causes us to be hated or ridiculed. That's my personal philosophy.

The truth is that the viral 2019 soundbite that inspired my column is decontextualized and manipulated. I apologize for unknowingly validating it. 

Nonetheless, my analysis of the strangulating economic policies of the Tinubu administration, which he advised Buhari against, stands.

 I am glad that he has seen reason to reverse the cybersecurity tax, according to today's Punch. I hope other reversals of injurious economic policies will follow. All we want is a better deal for our people.

I was chatting with a friend last week, who, mid-speech, redirected our conversation to the situation in the Middle East. She wanted to know what the mood in the US was. Over 6,000 miles away in Nigeria from where she was calling, she didn’t quite trust the media accounts. Since I was visiting the US, she thought I might have a better reading of the pulse.

Her call coincided with the decision by Israeli President, Benjamin Netanyahu, to launch a ground offensive in Rafah, in spite of warnings about compounding the current humanitarian disaster in Gaza where over 32,000 Palestinians have been killed, not counting bodies still under the rubble.

No one is sure how many more dead would be counted before Netanyahu finds the last Hamas, but is there still a chance – just one chance – that the dog in this deadly hunt will hear the hunter’s restraining whistle? Is the US unable or unwilling or both unable and unwilling to call Netanyahu to stop?

Calling America

I told the caller that the honest answer was I don’t know. The mood on US campuses was clear. Students from Columbia to Yale and from Harvard to New York and University of Texas at Austin, pitched tents outside for days in running battles with the police to demand an end to the war. They wanted the Biden administration to call Netanyahu to order. 

There were counter-protests, alright, but the overwhelming majority of students across US college campuses made their voices loud and clear: Israel had gone too far in avenging October 7. 

That was the mood on the campuses. 

It wasn’t very different on the streets, too. You could say that is to be expected. Two of three cab drivers I used were persons with Arab roots who wore their grief on their sleeves. 

They were not all Hamas sympathisers; just ordinary folks who might still have remained in Palestine under better leadership, but in whose eyes the worst Palestine leaders now look like saints, thanks to Israel’s ruthless war in Gaza. But you don’t have to be Arab or Jew or Greek to ask, who can stop Netanyahu? You just have to be human to see that if two wrongs don’t make a right, a third only compounds it.

So, who does the US listen to and why does it matter in the war in Gaza? In politico-speak those who move the hand that moves the most powerful country in the world are called the “military-industrial complex.” 

Who’s the Complex?

This is how Meta AI defines it: “The military-industrial complex (MIC) refers to the interconnected network of relationships between the military, defense contractors, and the federal government. It involves the collaboration and cooperation between these entities to produce and profit from military weapons, equipment and services.

“The term was first used by President Dwight D. Eisenhower in his farewell address in 1961, where he warned of the potential dangers of an unchecked alliance between the military, defence contractors and politicians.”

If there’s anyone who ought to know that a threesome involving the military, defence contractors and politicians can hardly end in any good, it was Eisenhower. He was on two of the three sides; and Dick Cheney who became Vice President decades later, was on the last two – defence contractor and politician. 

Eisenhower led two of the most consequential military campaigns in the Second World War, before he later became president.

This Complex is not large. In number terms, it would be a tiny fraction of the number of college students who besieged dozens of campuses last week, calling for an end to the war in Gaza. Statistics in 2009 suggested that it includes around 1,100 lobbyists who represent about 400 clients from the defence sector, mostly companies that make losses from peace.  

Size matters not

But you would be mistaken to judge its influence by its size. Although it accounted for about three percent of the US GDP two years ago, these folks famous mostly for their notorious exploits, with strong ties to the Jewish lobby, have been linked with nearly every bad thing from the overthrow and murder of radical Chilean president Salvadore Allende Gossens to the Vietnam War and from the Iran-Contra Affair to Gulf War I & II. 

As bad things go, the last one was the baddest. This Complex instigated the US invasion of Iraq in spite of all evidence to the contrary. It made up its own convenient evidence, bomb after bomb, as hundreds of lives were destroyed and centuries of civilisation in Mesopotamia was pillaged and ruined.

After the war, one of the last surviving White House peaceniks, Barack Obama, said, in a declassified document: “ISIS (Islamic State), is a direct outgrowth of Al Qaeda in Iraq that grew out of our invasion, which is an example of unintended consequences – which is why we should generally aim before we shoot.” Unfortunately, even Obama the Dove shot before aiming in Libya.

In the Middle East, the Complex has President Biden by the balls. That was what I told the caller from Nigeria. It doesn’t matter what the students are saying on college campuses or what the cab drivers think; the Complex has Biden by the balls. And what a hold they have on him and on anyone in the White House in an election year! The Complex has got Israel’s back. Biden is damned if he calls out Netanyahu. Damned if he doesn’t. 

Owners of America

That’s what I told the caller. The Igbo of Southeastern Nigeria have a profound way of saying it that is lacking in the English language: “Ana enwe obodo enwe!” A town is owned and the owners call the shots. It’s a hard thing to say, even harder, perhaps, to accept. Because the logic of accepting that the Complex owns America and has its ear, is to deny the agency of actors within the system who may hold different, even stridently opposing views.

But think of it this way: why would America, a beacon of the rule of law, conveniently hide under its non-signatory status to ICJ to allow Israel to continue bombarding Gaza in spite of warnings by the court and the UN of an impending humanitarian catastrophe? Why would Biden, who regretted voting for the War in Iraq, and who as President, has prioritised diplomacy, become so impotent over Gaza? It’s the Complex, folks! They’ve got him by the balls in an election year!

And Netanyahu knows this, as does large sections of the Western media largely controlled by vested interests in the Middle East conflict. Netanyahu knows that Israel’s invincibility is an American yarn. The students said that much in their placards and graffiti last week, but who’s listening? 

Certainly not Biden, who along with his British ally, Rishi Sunak, scrambled military assets to defend Israel on April 15, when Iran launched what might otherwise have been a devastating retaliatory attack on Israel? The yarn of Israel’s invincibility, largely overplayed in the Western media, continues to feed the war. For how long? How many more lives before enough is enough?

What price, peace?

On the whole, the world is in a far more peaceful place today than it was in the 20th century when millions of people died from senseless, bloody conflicts over ego and territory. Yet, it has taken bloody hard work to bring us here, where prosperity is not only measured by the Complex’s profit from wars, but also by how many ordinary folks around the world have bread on their table and milk for their babies.

Now, it seems like from South Sudan to Yemen and from the meat grinder in Ukraine to Gaza, the world is adrift again, one war at a time, as America defies the voices of its own children.

Someone must stop, listen and act. If not Biden, then who?

 

After alleging his life and family were in danger, FirstNews editor, Segun Olatunji, walked out on his job and the messy situation of Nigeria’s state security agents going feral on him. Their actions were not out of character. When a situation embarrasses one of the country’s many self-important “big men,” violence is always their resort. In this case, the big man with a punctured ego is the president’s Chief of Staff, Femi Gbajabiamila. FirstNews had written an unflattering story bordering on corruption and abuse of office about him, a civic action that turned out to be a mistake on the part of journalists who took the fact of Nigeria’s democracy as self-evident. For now, one cannot definitively state whether the case peaked with the editor’s resignation.

Some military men were said to have arrested Olatunji from his Lagos home. According to Olatunji’s narration of accounts, they arrested his wife and used her as bait to get to him. They (officers of the Army, Air Force and Defence Intelligence Agency!) burst into his home, bundled him into a van parked outside his house, and whisked him away. They blindfolded him and transported him to Abuja in a military helicopter. They also detained and tortured him. When confronted, they at first denied their involvement in his arrest. It was thanks to a sustained media campaign that Olatunji was later released. It probably helped too that the FirstNews management also apologised to Gbajabiamila stating that their report contained “falsehoods and fabricated stories handed out to us as facts by a misleading source.” Trouble is, in situations like this, you never know what constitutes a genuine apology and what was obtained under duress.

Several commentators have already addressed the issue of the journalist’s abduction. What I am curious about is the role of Gbajabiamila in all of these. Is he satisfied with the outcome? Is this how he is going to be resolving issues going forward? Notably, he was silent all through the saga (or maybe I just never came across his statement on the issue). However, we are Nigerians enough to know that the state agents would not deploy that much resources to arrest a single journalist if they were not acting on “orders from above.” The fact that he was publicly silent does not absolve his fangs of this venom.

As you might know, Gbajabiamilia is a trained lawyer with many years of practice in the United States. Yes, his career was blighted by professional misconduct but he was still a practitioner. Back home in Nigeria, he cut his political teeth by working among the breed of activists/intellectuals whose perpetual claims on the public never surpass their glorious days of challenging military despots. It is consequential of how we (mis-)attribute our freedom from autocratic government to these people that someone like Gbajabiamila eventually rose to become the Speaker of the House of Representatives. In short, Gbajabiamila is a man whose professional career and political credentials have been defined by the law—the rule of law, advocacy against an unruly order, and the making of the law.

So, why would a man like that fight supposed libel/slander through means that repudiate the law? Why did he abjure the path of pursuing a civil case and instead opt for the very “Gestapo” military techniques that negate the ethos of Nigeria as a democratic society? I am genuinely curious if, at any time during Olatunji’s saga, Gbajabiamila was struck by the irony of a lawyer/lawmaker defending his supposed integrity using brute despotic tactics. Is this not another instance of Nigeria as the quintessential Orwellian animal farm?

There are many disasters in Nigeria today, and Olatunji’s abduction illustrates some of them: those who boast they fought for democracy were never fully convinced of democracy’s true potential; those presently vested with power do not believe in the country enough to let us attain our true potential. At every turn, and every opportunity they get, they subvert our chances of becoming the nation where “peace and justice shall reign.” As it turns out, even the man who has worked with the law all his life does not even believe in the law enough to let the law take its course. He could have gotten FirstNews to apologise if he had filed a civil case in the court, won, and the judge ordered a retraction. Instead, he took a shortcut. For a country where insecurity is perpetually rife, security agents sure wasted resources to make a spectacle of the vindictiveness of self-vindication.

When you read the FirstNews report that triggered the abduction, what you see is a case of losing a needle and invoking Sango to help retrieve it. Ultimately, the expenditure of summoning a wrathful God will outweigh the value of what was initially lost. Like millions of Nigerians, I never even heard of FirstNews until the arrest of their editor. I had to go dig up the story online, and there it was: a wishy-washy and gossipy report that lacked substance. If there was any truth to that account, it was buried deep down in the shallowness of that reporting.

You look at the article now gleefully republished on the internet and wonder, what is it about this tripe that triggered the autocratic instincts of a lawyer, lawmaker, former Speaker, and Chief of Staff to the President? It really does not take much for people with really small feathers to have them ruffled. Then you look at the whole situation again and it suddenly gets clearer why Nigeria is in a state of administrative mess: our leaders are not busy enough. Those who are tasked with carrying the elephant of national responsibilities on their heads are obsessed with using their toes to dig up crickets in the soil of Nigeria’s decaying media institutions.

Meanwhile, by descending on Olatunji so high-handedly, reasonable people are left wondering why anyone would move a muscle over something so forgettable. It had to have triggered something in a seared conscience. While we will never know the truth of what happened, the overreaction suggests that there must be a raging fire underneath the wispy smoke of FirstNews’ report.

Olatunji’s story is yet another lesson for Nigerians who accede when government officials advocate more social media regulation. Now you can see that when people like Gbajabiamila go around whipping up a moral panic around social media, claiming social media is a menace that must be regulated, what they are actually doing is putting themselves beyond incrimination when they take certain extrajudicial actions like abducting and torturing a journalist. What they are trying to achieve by disseminating such glaring nonsense is a situation where they can justify themselves when they express their own unregulated power. Do not be beguiled, the real menace to society is those unaccountable to no one and who will observe no limits in their expression of coercive force.

Nigeria is a place where virtually everyone with a modicum of power does not hesitate to rain down abuses by using state-invested power, and here is another frightening instance. What is far more annoying is how the same state security agents who cannot protect us against crime, terrorism, banditry, and all sorts somehow always have enough resources to salvage the ego of the big man who is apparently too soft-skinned to take public criticism. For Nigerian soldiers who make videos to complain they fight Boko Haram and bandits without sufficient resources to fly a non-violent “offender” in a military helicopter shows an abject lack of seriousness in their organisation. But that imprudence is the nature of our democracy. There are never enough resources to do any public good, but they somehow manage to privatise the little that exists to assuage the feelings of puny gods who want their feelings worshipped.

The Abuja ‘Road to Schuman Forum,’ jointly organized by the EU Delegation in Abuja and Nigeria’s National Counter-Terrorism Centre (NCTC), Office of the National Security Advisor, was held in the Nigerian capital on Wednesday, 15th May 2024 as part of efforts for the strengthening of regional partnerships.

Held under the title: Reducing vulnerabilities through partnerships, the Forum attended by diplomats accredited to Nigeria and ECOWAS, EU and ECOWAS Commission officials and independent experts, is a precursor conversation to the main Schuman Forum on Security and Defence’ scheduled for 28-29 May 2024 in Brussels, Belgium.

The Abuja meeting was sub-themed: Conflict dynamics in West Africa; ECOWAS as a regional peace-building actor and stability provider; and strengthening regional partnerships.

In their opening remarks, Mr. Mallam Nuhu Ribadu, Nigeria’s National Security Adviser (NSA), Ambassador Samuela Isopi, the Head of the EU Delegation in Nigeria, the Nigerian  Minister of Defence, Hon Mohammed Badaru Abubakar, represented by Permanent Secretary, Dr Ibrahim Abubakar Kana, and Ambassador Abdel-Fatau Musah, ECOWAS Commissioner for Political Affairs, Peace and Security underscored the primacy of the EU-ECOWAS-Nigeria partnership in cross-cutting development issues, especially, in fighting the root causes of insecurity, counter-terrorism, violent extremism and drawbacks to economic prosperity in West Africa.

Maj-Gen Adamu Laka, of the NCTC, made a presentation on Nigeria’s peace and security situation, while Mr Ruben Alba Aguilera, of EU Delegation, spoke on the EU-Nigeria Security Partnership.

The presentation by Dr Pawoumothom Cyriaque Agnekethom, Director, Peacekeeping and Regional Security, ECOWAS Commission, was on ECOWAS security policies, while Mr Charles Andrew Stuart, Chief Advisor on Security for Africa, European Affairs Service, spoke on EU partnership with ECOWAS on peace and security.

The participants noted that despite progress in the area of peace, security, and defence, Nigeria still faces security threats of various forms, in different geographical areas.

EU officials reiterated the organization’s willingness to engage with Nigeria, to address the threats, through a coordinated approach.

Ms Miriam Uben Adah, of the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project, moderated the discussion on Effective partnerships in changing security dynamics, with the panellists discussing the challenges posed by terrorism and extremism, maritime security in the Gulf of Guinea and new emerging hybrid threats.

They also reflected on the reassessment of security policies and defence strategies and priorities for more effective partnerships. The panellists were Mr Hassan Yahaya Abdullahi - Director of Internal Security, ONSA, Commodore VB Gbaranwi, Deputy Director of Defence Affairs, ONSA, Mr Zakari Mijiyawa, Special Adviser to the NSA on Strategic Communications, a Representative of the Ministry of Defence, Ambassador Juan Sell Sanz, Spain and Commodore Usman Mainasara Bugaje, Deputy Director Strategy, Naval HQ,

Others were Mr Jean Francois Hasperue, from the Embassy of France, Mr Hervé Auffret, Head of Advisory Field Support, Geneva Centre for Security Sector Governance, and Ambassador Fatima Bala, from the Nigerian Working Group on Peace-building and Governance.

Mr Kabir Adamu, of the Beacon Security and Intelligence Limited, moderated the panel discussion on Rethinking regional security engagement, which featured panellists Dr Cyriaque Agnekethom, Ambassador Ibrahim Babani, Director of External Security (ONSA), Ambassador Pieter Leenknegt, from Belgium, Ambassador Kalilou Traoré, from Cote d’Ivoire, Dr Paul Andrew Gwaza, from the Institute of Peace and Conflict Resolution, and this writer.

The panel discussion centred on the unprecedented challenges faced by ECOWAS and the EU and the need to redefine the security architecture in the region.

It was noted that as key regional players, the EU and ECOWAS have a common interest in working together to overcome common challenges in the peace, security and defence areas and the need to redesign their security policies. The discussion also touched on the current Sahel situation, the erosion of democracy, and the epidemic of military coups in the region with four ECOWAS member States now under military dictatorships. Three of the four countries have served ECOWAS notice of withdrawal.

In their interventions, the participants agreed on the need to restore unity, cohesion and solidarity in ECOWAS and the reinvigoration of the mutually beneficial partnership cooperation between ECOWAS and the EU. They also stressed the need for a pro-African approach and ownership of the partnership programmes and projects such that the citizens will be positively impacted.

The outcome of the Abuja Forum will feed into the agenda of the Schuman Forum on Security and Defence’ coming up end of this month in Brussels.

Ejime is an Author, Global Affairs Analyst, and Consultant on Peace & Security and Governance Communications

These are difficult times globally. There is the ongoing brutality of the Russo-Ukrainian war leading to the death and displacement of millions of people who probably do not care where the borders between the two sisterly countries are drawn. The people there and their ancestors have lived in that place from time immemorial. The attempt by President Vladimir Putin to recreate a new Russian empire after the collapse of the USSR has led to his intervention not only in Ukraine but also in Moldova and in the Caucasus dismembering Georgia leading to the emergence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

The genocidal conflict in the Sudan between the armed forces of the country (SAF) led by General Abdel Fattah al Burhan and the irregular forces of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) under the leadership of General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemeddti), the man who was also the leader of the Janjaweed terrorist group responsible for killing millions of black Sudanese previously, has been going on for years and has led to the murder of millions of hapless Africans. The country has been destroyed and nobody seems to care that much. Not the Arabs, not the Africans and not the rest of the world except the puerile effusions from the United Nations’ Secretary General. War has been going on in the so-called Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) where the western communications and other companies particularly the EV carmakers are busy mining minerals needed for their new innovations and batteries and paying starvation wages for the poor Africans including children digging with their hands for rare minerals.

 

All across the Sahel region of Africa, wars and insurgencies against rulers working for western interests have been going on for decades while military rulers come and go and the lives of Africans are deemed expendable. There is raging insurgency war against the brutal military regime in Burma (Myanmar) which has led to millions of ethnic Rohingya expelled and millions of rebels killed in the country.

In the Middle East, Yemenis are divided between the Houthis and the previously recognized legitimate government. Iraq has not recovered from American destruction of the country following the war to remove Saddam Hussein and its aftermath and a land of ancient civilisation has been handed over to sectarian chaotic leadership.  Syria under what is left of it under Bashar al Assad has been reduced to a shadow of its old self and the second largest city Aleppo has been bombed into Stone Age  and a glorious Arab civilisation has been brought down to a level of clannishness where a sense of nationalism is totally lost at least for now.

Pakistan and Afghanistan do not know peace and Lebanon is virtually partitioned into two between the Christian and conservative Arab regime on one hand and militant and armed Shi’ite Hisbollah- the so-called “party of God”. It is necessary to highlight these conflicts in order not to give an impression that all other parts of the world is peaceful except Gaza where the self-inflicted conflict with Israel has been going for the past seven months with apparent Israeli determination to wipe out the Palestinians as a “final solution “to the Palestinian question. It is ironic that this kind of extermination of a people was faced by the ancestors of the Israeli people some 75 years ago.

The breach of Israeli security by the Gaza Hamas rebels on October 7, 2023 during which about 1400 people were killed and kidnapped precipitated the ongoing conflict in Gaza. Everyone has said Israel is justified in fighting back and Israel has done this almost immediately after the surprise attack. Almost all the major powers backed Israel initially and those like Russia and China demurred, only to support on ideological basis, the Palestinians as a people fighting against colonial oppression. Even their support was tepid. 

The Americans led by President Joe Biden virtually moved key American ministries like Defence and Foreign Affairs and the CIA to Israel to facilitate easy delivery of weapons to Israel and full deployment of American diplomacy at the service of Israel. The G7 was mobilised to support Israel and NATO’s intelligence was put at service of Israel. Even countries in Africa and Latin America at the prodding of the United States toed the American line. The Arab countries especially the big ones like Egypt and Saudi Arabia lay prostrate at Israeli feet at the behest of the United States. India and Pakistan perhaps reluctantly supported Israel. With this massive support for Israel, the Jewish state feels it could not do any wrong. It unleashed its own and cutting edge and American weapons on the Gaza Strip and sometimes the Western Palestinian territory on the Western bank of the river Jordan. By the second month of the war on Gaza, about 20 thousand Palestinians had been wiped off the face of the earth through artillery fire and aerial bombing using American weapons. By the fifth month, more than 30,000 Palestinians have been slaughtered. As of today, who is counting? A figure of 36, 000 souls have been lost.

The Israeli government of Bilyalminu Netanyahu says he wants to kill all the Hamas militants but even America says more than three quarters of those killed are children, women and the elderly. The Democratic Party in America especially its left wing is in open rebellion against President Joe Biden and the universities in America are also in uproar against American involvement with Israel in committing open murders in the glare of the whole world. President Joe Biden is definitely embarrassed and his constant hypocritical pleas with Netanyahu to spare the civilian population of Palestine have been ignored. He is now threatening to cut off the Israeli government from some type of weapons that may be used in Gaza. This is laughed off by the IDF which says it has all the weapons it needs to prosecute the war to the bitter end.

America has completely lost all influence with the Arab and non-Arab world. Whatever it says in the future would be completely ignored by most countries. Its recent request for military facilities in Africa has been virtually ignored by every country including our own at least openly. America apart from Gaza and the Palestinians would end up as the main victims of the Israeli war on Gaza. The American renewed efforts to reconcile Israel with Saudi Arabia, if it had gotten Israeli support through its humane policies in Gaza, would have altered the course of history possibly for good in the Middle East. An Israeli – Saudi Arabian rapprochement would have facilitated Israeli opening not only to the Arabs but to the Islamic countries like Pakistan, Indonesia and Malaysia.

As things stand, Israel is going to make Biden lose the presidential election in November and earn Israel the hostility of the Democratic Party for years to come. The second coming of Donald J. Trump is too ghastly for many to imagine. The critical elements in global intelligentsia seem opposed to Israel probably because of the human tendency to support the underdog in this case the Palestinians, but more likely because of the ferocity of the inhumanity of Israeli attacks. The thinking is why beat up a Palestine that is down and prostrate? This is why countries like the Republics of South Africa and Ireland with their history of colonial resistance are in open arms against Israel and they are not alone; the vast majority of countries in the developing world in Asia, Africa and Latin America share the same feelings with countries openly opposed to Israel.

The vote against Israel in the United Nations General Assembly to admit Palestine to full membership of the UN is an illustration of the support for Palestine and opposition to the bullying and oppression of the Israeli government. This is really sad because since the 1948 creation of Israel despite its complex and controversial moral foundation, Israel had always been favoured by virtually the whole world. If only for Israel to go back to some semblance of acceptability, someone should help Israel to stop the war because it has made the point that the Jewish state would rather fight to the death than surrender to any form of attack designed to destroy it. This point needs not be made at expense of the Palestinians who now face a genocidal onslaught as Israel moves to finish them off in Rafa.

 
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